Well what can I say? Last weekend’s Braeburn Tenner bets were as disappointing and frustrating as having £2 on England to win the fifth Test at 200/1 only for the players to be called off with four overs to play. And with England only needing 21 to win, there is no doubt in my mind that Matty Prior and the supremely confident debutant Chris Woakes, would have got England over the finish line had the fading light in south London not intervened. In betting, as in life, you win some and you lose some others and thanks to England’s antics earlier in the series I could not even get really angry with Michael Clarke and the Aussies for their time wasting tactics. Still there is plenty of time to get angry with Australian cricketers later in the year, for now it is time to take a few pounds off the bookies.
However this looks a tough task this week with the Premier League fixtures offering nothing that looks both likely and of good value. With this in mind I am going to revert to my old favourite, and as yet thoroughly unsuccessful, correct score betting. Tonight Chelsea face Bayern Munich in the European Super (Dooper) Cup and I personally reckon (for what that is worth) that both teams will score in a tight match that might potentially get a little nasty thanks to the history between the two managers on the touchline. In addition we will have a first foray into the minefield of over/under betting in a nice little London treble.
Here’s where my tenner is going this weekend.
Bet 1 - Correct Score Spread 1
Yep, you guessed it, we’re going for the old favourite, 2-1, 1-1, 1-2 bet. Bet Victor have let me down by not having the best price on Bayern to win 2-1 but the odds on the other two scores make up for that shortfall.
Bet 2 - Correct Score Spread 2
Another correct score spread this week as Manchester City welcome Hull City to the Etihad and give Manuel Pelligrino’s side a chance to bounce back and show some bottle after last weeks ridiculous defeat to Cardiff. In their opening fixture City sprayed water on Newcastle’s parade and although I expect the Blue/Redbirds to offer slightly more resistance than the Geordies this will still be a comfortable home win. We’re going for 3-0, 3-1 and 4-0 in this one again with our old mates at BV.
Bet 3 - The Treble
With the Prem fixtures looking tighter than a certain small insects chaff I am going to suggest a wee punt on some over/under fun to stretch our interest in the weekend beyond Saturday lunchtime. The games at the Boleyn Ground and Selhurst Park both look likely to be soporific affairs, with I would suggest less than 2.5 goals apiece. Stoke are as much fun as a dose of piles and the clueless Mark Hughes is likely to play a game of park the bus in this one. Meanwhile Palace will be desperate to avoid another defeat and Sunderland are unlikely to offer much of a goal threat away from home this season. It will be a different story at the Emirates however. The last 20 north London derbies have only thrown up 4 games with fewer than 2.5 goals and 4 of the last 6 have featured 5 goals or more. This one will also be a free scoring affair with Arsenal keen to prove they are still the local bullies and Spurs looking strong as they move into a post-Bale era. Let’s go over 3.5 goals here.
Divvy your £10 up as detailed below with all selections going on at Bet Victor
Bayern v Chelsea, correct score.
1-1 draw, £1.60 at 15/2 (returns - £13.60).
2-1 Bayern, £1.55 at 17/2 (returns - £14.73).
2-1 Chelsea, £0.85 at 16/1 (returns - £14.45).
Man City v Hull City, correct score.
3-0 City, £2 at 13/2 (returns - £15).
4-0 City, £1.30 at 10/1 (returns - £14.30).
4-1 City, £0.70 at 17/1 (returns - £12.60).
Over/Under Treble - £2 (poss returns £18.21)
West Ham v Stoke - Under 2.5 goals
Palace v Sunderland - Under 2.5 goals
Arsenal v Spurs - Over 3.5 goals
Week 2 starting balance: £28.60
Profit/Loss: - £10
Week 3 starting balance: £18.60
follow me on Twitter: @marcusbraeburn
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